PAVES GEANTS ANTI GIEC : L'offensive géante contre la propagande de Davos et du GIEC sur le CLIMAT!

Greenland GISP2 ice core last 20 000 years interglacial temperature : https://www.reddit.com/r/[...]e_core_last_10000_years/ù

Il y a une tendance à la hausse marquée du rayonnement solaire au-dessus du continent européen et ce depuis 1980, à cause de facteurs naturels comme la circulation océanique qui “déclenchent et contrôlent l’ensemble de la chaîne d’événements des processus climatiques”.

Source : https://rmets.onlinelibra[...]doi/full/10.1002/joc.7270

publié dans Royal Meteorological Soviety par Andrzej A. Marsz, Dorota Matuszko, Anna Styszyńska sur le sujet : The thermal state of the North Atlantic and macro-circulation conditions in the Atlantic-European sector, and changes in sunshine duration in Central Europe

Publiée en 2022

Cette étude fait référence à l’affirmation de Michael Mann selon laquelle “les changements dans la SST (température de surface des océans) et les ressources de chaleur dans les eaux de l’Atlantique Nord sont dus à des facteurs anthropogéniques”. Les auteurs ont trouvé des preuves concluantes que la soi-disant thèse de Mann est “incompatible avec les données empiriques et les résultats de la modélisation” et, plus directement, que les affirmations de Mann “ne se reflètent pas dans la réalité”. La circulation thermohaline de l’Atlantique Nord est le principal facteur contrôlant tous les processus climatiques en Europe centrale, en particulier la variabilité à long terme (1951-2015) de la durée d’ensoleillement.


Source : https://ruj.uj.edu.pl/xml[...]e_north_atlantic_2022.pdf

On constate une tendance de la durée d'ensoleillement à la hausse.

Or, cette variabilité de la durée de l'ensoleillement est quelque chose qui est naturel et qui se produit sans référence aux aérosols anthropiques.

Pour savoir à quoi ressemble les données fournis par les aérosols.

Parmi les références de l'étude

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-018-0036-6

Evidence for a volcanic underpinning of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation


Dans la revue nature :







https://czasopisma.uni.lo[...]physica/article/view/4565

Epoki cyrkulacyjne w serii makroform Vangengeima-Girsa (1891–2010)

https://rmets.onlinelibra[...].com/doi/10.1002/joc.6118

Variation of macro-circulation forms over the Atlantic-Eurasian temperate zone according to the Vangengeim-Girs classification

Publié par Krzysztof Kożuchowski et Jan Degirmendžić en 2019.

Dans Royal Meteorological Society :






https://journals.ametsoc.[...]_1481_mtcvdb_2.0.co_2.xml

Publié dans American Meteorogological Society

Multidecadal Thermohaline Circulation Variability Driven by Atmospheric Surface Flux Forcing

Publié par Thomas L. Delworth et Richard J. Greatbatch


Publié en mai 2000



Références : Barsugli, J. J., and D. S. Battisti, 1998: The basic effects of atmosphere–ocean thermal coupling on midlatitude variability. J. Atmos. Sci.,55, 477–93.

Capotondi, A., and W. R. Holland, 1998: Thermohaline circulation variability in the NCAR Climate System Model. NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-445+STR, 38 pp. [Available from NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307.].

Chen, F., and M. Ghil, 1995: Interdecadal variability of the thermohaline circulation and high-latitude surface fluxes. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,25, 2547–2568.

Cox, M. D., 1984: A primitive equation, three-dimensional model of the ocean. GFDL Ocean Group Tech. Rep. 1, 75 pp. [Available from GFDL, Princeton University, Rt. 1, Forrestal Campus, Princeton, NJ 08542.].

Delworth, T. L., 1996: North Atlantic interannual variability in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model. J. Climate,9, 2356–2375.

——, and M. E. Mann, 2000: Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic. Climate Dyn., in press.

——, S. Manabe, and R. J. Stouffer, 1993: Interdecadal variations of the thermohaline circulation in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model. J. Climate,6, 1993–2011.

——, ——, and ——, 1997: Multidecadal climate variability in the Greenland Sea and surrounding regions: A coupled model simulation. Geophys. Res. Lett.,24, 257–260.

Dickson, R. R., J. Lazier, J. Meincke, P. Rhines, and J. Swift, 1996:Long-term coordinated changes in the convective activity of the North Atlantic. Progress in Oceanography, Vol. 38, Pergamon Press, 214–295.

Greatbatch, R. J., and S. Zhang, 1995: An interdecadal oscillation in an idealized ocean basin forced by constant heat flux. J. Climate,8, 81–91.

——, and K. A. Peterson, 1996: Interdecadal variability and oceanic thermohaline adjustment. J. Geophys. Res.,101 (C9), 20 467–20 482.

Griffies, S. M., and E. Tziperman, 1995: A linear thermohaline oscillator driven by stochastic atmospheric forcing. J. Climate,8, 2440–2453.

Hall, M. M., and H. L. Bryden, 1982: Direct estimates and mechanisms of ocean heat transport. Deep-Sea Res.,29A, 339–359.

Haywood, J. M., R. J. Stouffer, R. T. Wetherald, S. Manabe, and V. Ramaswamy, 1997: Transient response of a coupled model to estimated changes in greenhouse gas and sulfate concentrations. Geophys. Res. Lett.,24, 1335–1338.

Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation:Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science,269, 676–679.

James, I. N., and P. M. James, 1989: Ultra-low-frequency frequency variability in a simple atmospheric circulation model. Nature,342, 53–55.

Kushnir, Y., 1994: Interdecadal variations in North Atlantic sea surface temperature and associated atmospheric conditions. J. Climate,7, 141–157.

——, and I. Held, 1996: Equilibrium atmospheric response to North Atlantic SST anomalies. J. Climate,9, 1208–1220.

Latif, M., 1998: Dynamics of interdecadal variability in coupled ocean–atmosphere models. J. Climate,11, 602–624.

Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, 1994: Multiple-century response of a coupled ocean–atmosphere model to an increase of carbon dioxide. J. Climate,7, 5–23.

——, ——, M. J. Spelman, and K. Bryan, 1991: Transient response of a coupled ocean–atmosphere model to gradual changes of atmospheric CO2. Part I: Annual mean response. J. Climate,4, 785–818.

——, ——, ——, and ——, 1992: Transient response of a coupled ocean–atmosphere model to gradual changes of atmospheric CO2. Part II: Seasonal response. J. Climate,5, 105–126.

Mann, M. E., and J. Park, 1996: Joint spatiotemporal modes of surface temperature and sea level pressure variability in the Northern Hemisphere during the last century. J. Climate,9, 2137–2162.

——, R. S. Bradley, and M. K. Hughes, 1998: Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries. Nature,392, 779–787.

Marotzke, J., 1989: Instabilities and steady states of the thermohaline circulation. Oceanic Circulation Models: Combining Data and Dynamics, D. L. T. Anderson and J. Willebrand, Eds., Kluwer, 505–511.

Pacanowski, R., K. Dixon, and A. Rosati, 1991: The GFDL Modular Ocean Model users guide version 1. GFDL Ocean Group Tech. Rep. 2, 44 pp. [Available from NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University, Rt. 1, Forrestal Campus, Princeton, NJ 08542.].

Timmermann, A., M. Latif, R. Voss, and A. Grotzner, 1998: Northern Hemispheric interdecadal variability: A coupled air–sea mode. J. Climate,11, 1906–1931.

Tourre, Y., B. Rajagopalan, and Y. Kushnir, 1999: Dominant patterns of climate variability in the Atlantic during the last 136 years. J. Climate,12, 2285–2299.

Weaver, A. J., and E. R. Sarachik, 1991a: Evidence for decadal variability in an ocean general circulation model: An advective mechanism. Atmos.–Ocean,29, 197–231.

——, and ——, 1991b: The role of mixed boundary conditions in numerical models of the ocean’s climate. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,21, 1470–1493.

——, and S. Valcke, 1998: On the variability of the thermohaline circulation in the GFDL coupled model. J. Climate,11, 759–767.

Wood, R. A., A. B. Keen, J. F. B. Mitchell, and J. M. Gregory, 1999:Changing spatial structure of the thermohaline circulation in response to atmospheric CO2 forcing in a climate model. Nature,399, 572–575.

Yang, J., and J. D. Neelin, 1993: Sea-ice interaction with the thermohaline circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett.,20, 217–220.

Zhang, S., R. J. Greatbatch, and C. A. Lin, 1993: A reexamination of the polar halocline catastrophe and implications for coupled ocean–atmosphere modeling. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,23, 287–299.

——, C. A. Lin, and R. J. Greatbatch, 1995: A decadal oscillation due to the coupling between an ocean circulation model and a thermodynamic sea-ice model. J. Mar. Res.,53, 79–106.

https://www.science.org/d[...]126/science.287.5461.2246

Simulation of Early 20th Century Global Warming

Publié dans Science

Publié par Thomas L. Delworth et Thomas R. Knutson en mars 2000

https://link.springer.com[...]cle/10.1007/s003820000075


Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere

Publié en 2000

Par T. L. Delworth et M. E. Mann

Dans Springer Link



Version pdf : file:///C:/Users/33601/Downloads/Delworth_T_L_Mann_M_E_Observed_and_simulated_multi.pdf





Références : Allan R, Lindesay J, Parker D 01996) El NinÄo Southern Oscillation
and climate variability. CSIRO Publishing, 150 Oxford St. 0PO
Box 1139), Collingwood, Victoria 2066, Australia
Allan RJ 01999) ENSO and climatic variability in the last 150 years.
In Diaz, HF and V. Markgraf 0eds.), El Nino and the Southern
Oscillation: Multiscale variability and its impact on natural
ecosystems and society. Cambridge University Press, Cam-
bridge, UK
Bjerknes J 01964) Atlantic air-sea interaction. Advances in geo-
physics. Academic Press, New York, pp 1±82
Capotondi A, Holland WR 01998) Thermohaline circulation vari-
ability in the NCAR Climate System Model 0CSM). NCAR
Technical Note, NCAR/TN-445+STR
CubaschU, Voss R, Hegerl GC, Wazskewitz J, Crowley TJ 01997)
Simulation of the in¯uence of solar radiation variations on the
global climate withan ocean-atmosphere general circulation
model. Clim Dyn 13: 757±767

Cullen H, D'Arrigo R, Cook E, Mann ME 02000) Multiproxy-
based reconstructions of the North Atlantic Oscillation over the
past three centuries. Paleoceanography 0in press)
Delworth TL, Greatbatch RJ 02000) Multidecadal thermohaline
circulation variability driven by atmospheric surface ¯ux
forcing. J Clim 13: 1481±1495
DelworthTL, Manabe S, Stou€er RJ 01993) Interdecadal varia-
tions of the thermohaline circulation in a coupled ocean-
atmosphere model. J Clim 6: 1993±2011
DelworthTL, Manabe S, Stou€er RJ 01997) Multidecadal climate
variability in the Greenland Sea and surrounding regions: a
coupled model simulation. Geophys Res Lett 24: 257±260
Deser C, Blackmon M 01993) Surface climate variations over
the North Atlantic ocean during winter: 1900±1989. J Clim
6: 1743±1753
Dixon KD, DelworthTL, Spelman MJ, Stou€er RJ 01999) The
in¯uence of transient surface ¯uxes on NorthAtlantic over-
turning in a coupled GCM climate change experiment. Geophys
Res Lett 26: 2749±2752
Folland CK, Parker DE, Kates FE 01984) Worldwide marine
temperature ¯uctuations 1856±1981. Nature 310: 670±673
Folland CK, Palmer TN, Parker DE 01986) Sahel rainfall and
worldwide sea temperatures. Nature 320: 602±606
Folland CK, Owen J, Ward MN, Colman A 01991) Prediction
of seasonal rainfall in the Sahel region using empirical and
dynamical methods. J Forecast 10: 21±56
Folland CK, Parker DE, Colman A, Washington R 01999) Large-
scale modes of ocean surface temperature since the late nine-
teenthcentury. In: Navarra A 0ed) Beyond El Nino: decadal
and interdecadal climate variability. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg
New York, pp 73±102
Folland CK, Allan RJ, Mann ME, Power SB 01999) Patterns of
large-scale climatic variability in the instrumental era. Proc
22nd General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy
and Geophysics, 18±30 July 1999, Birmingham, UK
Gries SM, Tziperman E 01995) A linear thermohaline oscillator
driven by stochastic atmospheric forcing. J Clim 8: 2440±2453
Hasselmann K 01976) Stochastic climate models. Part I: theory.
Tellus 28: 473±485
Haywood JM, Stou€er RJ, Wetherald RT, Manabe S, Ramasw-
amy V 01997) Transient response of a coupled model to esti-
mated changes in greenhouse gas and sulfate concentrations.
Geophys Res Lett 24: 1335±1338
Hurrell JW 01995) Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscilla-
tion, regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269:
676±679
Kaplan A, Cane MA, Kushnir Y, Clement AC, Blumenthal MB,
Rajagopalan B 01998) Analyses of global sea surface tempera-
ture 1856±1991. J Geophys Res 103: 18 567±18 589
Kushnir Y 01994) Interdecadal variations in North Atlantic sea
surface temperature and associated atmospheric conditions.
J Clim 7: 141±157
Kushnir Y, Held I 01996) Equilibrium atmospheric response to
NorthAtlantic SST anomalies. J Clim 9: 1208±1220
Kushnir Y, Tourre Y, Rajagopalan B 01997) Decadal and mul-
tidecadal variability in Atlantic SST and sea level pressure.
Proc Atlantic Climate Variability Meeting, Lamont Doherty
EarthObservatory, Columbia University, 24±26 September,
1997
Lamb PJ, Peppler RA 01987) NorthAtlantic oscillation: concept
and an application. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 68: 1218±1225
Latif M 01998) Dynamics of interdecadal variability in coupled
ocean-atmosphere models. J Clim 11: 602±624
Lean J, Rind D 01998) Climate forcing by changing solar radiation.
J Clim 11: 3069±3094
Manabe S, Stou€er RJ 01994) Multiple-century response of
a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of carbon
dioxide. J Clim 7: 5±23
Manabe S, Stou€er RJ, Spelman MJ, Bryan K 01991) Transient
response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to gradual
changes of atmospheric CO 2 . Part I. Annual mean response.
J Clim 4: 785±818

Manabe S, Stou€er RJ, Spelman MJ, Bryan K 01992) Transient re-
sponse of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to gradual changes
of atmospheric CO 2 . Part II. Seasonal response. J Clim 5: 105±126
Mann ME 02000) Large-scale climate variability and connections
with the middle east during the past few centuries. Climatic
Change 0in press)
Mann ME, Lees J 01996) Robust estimation of background noise
and signal detection in climatic time series. Clim Change 33:
409±445
Mann ME, Park J 01994) Global scale modes of surface tempera-
ture variability on interannual to century time scales. J Geophys
Res 99: 25 819±25 833
Mann ME, Park J 01996) Joint spatio-temporal modes of surface
temperature and sea level pressure variability in the Northern
Hemisphere during the last century. J Clim 9: 2137±2162
Mann ME, Park J 01999) Oscillatory spatiotemporal signal detec-
tion in climate studies: a multiple-taper spectral domain ap-
proach. Adv Geophys 41: 1±131
Mann ME, Park J, Bradley RS 01995) Global interdecadal and
century-scale oscillations during the past ®ve centuries. Nature
378: 266±270
Mann ME, Bradley RS, Hughes MK 01998) Global-scale temper-
ature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries.
Nature 392: 779±787
Mann ME, Bradley RS, Hughes MK 01999) Northern Hemisphere
temperatures during the past millennium: inferences, uncer-
tainties, and limitations. Geophys Res Lett 26: 759±762
Mann ME, Bradley RS, Hughes MK 02000a) Long-term variability
in the El Nino Southern Oscillation and associated telecon-
nections. In: Diaz HF, Markgraf V 0eds) El Nino and the
Southern Oscillation: multiscale variability and its impacts on
natural ecosystems and society. Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, UK 0in press)
Mann ME, Gille E, Bradley RS, Hughes MK, Overpeck JT, Keimig
FT, Gross W 02000b) Global temperature patterns in past cen-
turies: an interactive presentation. EarthInteract 0in press)
Minobe S 01997) A 50±70 year climatic oscillation over the North
Paci®c and NorthAmerica. Geophys Res Lett 24: 683±686

Minobe S 01999) Resonance in bidecadal and pentadecadal climate
oscillations over the North Paci®c: role in climatic regime shifts.
Geophys Res Lett 26: 855±858
Parker DE, Folland CK 01991) Worldwide surface temperature
trends since the mid-19th century. In: Schlesinger ME 0ed)
Greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change: a critical appraisal
of simulations and observations. Elsevier, Amsterdam,
pp 173±193
Santer BD, Wigley TML, Barnett TP, Anyamba E 01996) Climate
change 1995. In: Houghton J, Meira Filho LG, Callander BA,
Harris N, Kattenberg A, Maskell K 0eds) climate change 1995:
the science of climate change. Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, UK, pp 407±443
Schlesinger ME, Ramankutty N 01994) An oscillation in the global
climate system of period 65±70 years. Nature 367: 723±726
Stocker TF, Mysak LA 01992) Climatic ¯uctuations on the century
time scale: a review of high-resolution proxy data and possible
mechanisms. Clim Change 20: 227±250
Thompson DW, Wallace JM 01998) The Arctic Oscillation signa-
ture in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature
®elds. Geophys Res Lett 25: 1297±1300
Timmermann A, Latif M, Voss R, Grotzner A 01998) Northern
Hemispheric interdecadal variability: a coupled air-sea mode.
J Clim 11: 1906±1931
Tourre Y, Rajagopalan B, Kushnir Y 01999) Dominant patterns of
climate variability in the Atlantic over the last 136 years. J Clim
0in press)
Vellinga M, Wood RA 01999) Decadal variability of NorthAt-
lantic Deep Water transport in the HADCM3 climate model.
Abstract volume from the Fourth Int Conf Modelling of Global
Climate Change and Variability, 13±17 September, 1999
Waple A, Mann ME, Bradley RS 02000) Long-term patterns of
solar irradiance forcing in model experiments and proxy based
surface temperature reconstructions. Clim Dyn, 0in press)
Wood RA, Keen AB, Mitchell JFB, Gregory JM 01999) Changing
spatial structure of the thermohaline circulation in response
to atmospheric CO 2 forcing in a climate model. Nature 399:
572±575

https://agupubs.onlinelib[...]/abs/10.1029/2000GL012745



Publié dans AGU, Advancing Earth and Space Science

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental U.S.

Publié par David B. Enfield, Alberto M. Mestas-Nuñez, Paul J. Trimble



Publié dans ResearchGate également : https://www.researchgate.[...]ows_in_the_continental_US



Version pdf :file:///C:/Users/33601/Downloads/Enfield_etal_2001.pdf



Références : Andronova, N. G., and M. E. Schlesinger, Causes of global tem-
perature changes during the 19th and 20th centuries, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 27, 2137-2140, 2000.
Delworth, T. L., and M. E. Mann, Observed and simulated mul-
tidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere, Climate Dy-
namics, 16, 661-676, 2000.
Ebisuzaki, W., A method to estimate the statistical significance of
a correlation when the data are serially correlated, J. Climate,
10, 2147-2153, 1997.
Gershunov, A., and T.P. Barnett, Interdecadal Modulation of
ENSO Teleconnections, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 2715-
2725, 1998.
Houghton, J.T. et al., Climate Change 1995: The Science of
Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, 1996.
Kalnay, E. et al., The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471, 1996.
Kaplan, A., M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, and A. C. Clement, Analysis
of global sea surface temperatures 1856-1991, J. Geophys. Res.,
103, 18,567-18,589, 1998.
Kerr, R. A., A North Atlantic climate pacemaker for the centuries,
Science, 288 (5473), 1984-1986, 2000.
Mantua, N.J., S.R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J.M. Wallace, and R.C.
Francis, A Pacific decadal climate oscillation with impacts on
salmon production, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 1069-1079,
1997.
McCabe, G. J., and M. D. Dettinger, Decadal variations in the
strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the
western United States, Int. J. Climatol., 19, 1399-1410, 2000.
Mestas-Nu˜nez, A. M., and D. B. Enfield, Rotated global modes
of non-ENSO sea surface temperature variability, J. Climate,
12, 2734-2746, 1999.
Schlesinger, M. E., and N. Ramankutty, An oscillation in the
global climate system of period 65-70 years, Nature, 367, 723-
726, 1994.
Venegas, S.A., and L.A. Mysak, Is there a dominant timescale
of natural climate variability in the Arctic?, J. Climate, 13,
3412-3434, 2000.
D. B. Enfield, NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Mete-
orological Laboratory, Miami, FL, 33149 USA. (e-mail: en
[email protected])
(Received December 12, 2000; revised February 16, 2001;
accepted February 26, 2001.






Publié en mai 2001

https://agupubs.onlinelib[...]full/10.1029/2004GL019932


Publié dans Advancing Earth and Space Science



Publié par Stephen T. Gray, Lisa J. Graumlich, Julio L. Betancourt, Gregory T. Pederson

Bravo